Wednesday, March 15, 2017

Village Elliot's Post Combine Mock Draft 2017

Myles Garret destroyed the Combine and will be the Number One overall pick.  

    I was a doubter for a while, but now that Myles Garret has crushed the Combine, he is definitely the number one pick for the NFL draft.  I originally had Mitch Trubisky going first overall to the Browns, but after a so-so Sun Bowl performance, I decided he might not be a Hall of Famer after all, and downgraded him to second overall.  Besides the Browns do not really need a quarterback as much as they need to help an underperforming defense and terrible offensive line.  I think they are going to draft one or possibly two starting in Round 2, although they might be tempted to pull the trigger at #12 if Mahomes or Trubisky are still available.
      I think it is more likely that the Browns will draft one or even two prospects in Rounds 2 thru 4.  I think that the analytics guys will keep doing that until they are satisfied with the quarterback corps.  Even then, the goal is not to just have one quarterback, but have two or three, like the Patriots.  

      Deshaun Watson fell out of the first round after recording the slowest ball velocity of a major quarterback at 49 mph. I don't think his game is going to translate to the NFL as great as he has been for Clemson.  
     I was thinking of bumping Deshone Kizer all the way to the second round, but I figure his talent level is so high that someone will take a chance on him late in the first round, despite underperforming at Notre Dame. Houston would be a good fit, since that team loves to gobble up quarterbacks almost as much as the Browns.  My take is that in 2016 his receiving talent was not nearly as good as 2015, when the team sent three wideouts to the NFL.    So maybe we can forgive his relatively ordinary stats and focus on his exceptional throwing ability.  
    I bumped Jabrill Peppers  up and down.  For awhile,  I was afraid he was slower than advertised because Curtis Samuel looked faster when OSU played Michigan.  Well, Curtis Samuel is faster, but Peppers is still a 4.4 guy, which is excellent for a safety.  Plus he is an outstanding return guy.
     I had sent back Jamal Adams for running a 4.5, but on his Pro Day he ran a 4.3.    That's worth 10 spots at least, in my opinion.
    I moved Obi Melfonwu up over Jabrill Peppers because of a monstrous combine, and criticism of Peppers' coverage skills.  I still like Peppers because he had to play out of position in 2016 (linebacker) because his team needed him to, but normally he would have developed at strong stafety.  

   I like O J Howard even though the Browns don't really need a tight end.  But he is just too talented to pass up.  The Browns do need a right tackle to stabilize that Offensive Line.  If they decide to trade back they might land Ryan Ramczyk.  I think Trubisky and Mahomes will be gone early.  Mahomes looked every bit as good as Trubisky at the Combine.  

1BrownsMyles Garrett TAMUDE
2SFMarshon Lattimore    Ohio StateCB
3ChiJonathan AllenAlabamaDE   
4JacksonvilleMitchell TrubiskyUNCQB 
5TitansJamal Adams LUSSSR
6JetsPat MahomesTexas TechQB
7ChargersMike Williams    Clemson  WR
8PanthersCam RobinsonAlabama
9BengalsDerek BarnettTennesseeDE
10BillsMallik Hooker OSUFS
11SaintsLeonard FournetteLSU RB
12BrownsOJ HowardAlabamaTE
13CardinalsCorey DavisWestern MichWR
14EaglesCurtis SamuelOhio StateWR
15ColtsDalvin CookFlorida StateRB
16RavensMalik McDowellMich StDE
17WashingtonTim WilliamsAlabamaLB
18TitansRyan RamczykWisconsinRT
19TampaJohn RossWashingtonWR 
20BroncosJarrad DavisFloridaLB
21LionsMarlon HumphreyAlabamaCB
22MiamiReuben FosterAlabamaLB
23GiantsKevin KingWashington cb
24RaidersRaekwon McMillanOSULB
25TexansDeShone KizerNDQB
26GBObi MelfonwuMUConnS
27SeahawksCharles HarrisMissouriDE
28AtlantaTakkarist McKinleyUCLAOLB
29SteelersCaleb BrantleyFloridaDT
30KCJabrill Peppers MichiganSS
31CowboysCordrea TankersleyClemsonCB
32NEChristian McCaffreyStanfordRB


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