Saturday, April 23, 2016

Browns Win the Draft Trade with the Eagles

     It feels great knowing that there is a team that is far dumber than the Browns.  Take a bow, Mr. Howie Roseman on behalf of the Philadelphia Eagles.  The Eagles move up in this year's draft and get a fourth round pick next year.  The cost is their 1st, 3rd and 4th round pick this year; their 1st round pick in 2017 and their second round pick next year.  
   The more I think about it, the more I think the Eagles are genuinely insane, will have to lose a ton of games, and will give the Browns excellent draft position.  How can they sign two free agent quarterbacks--Sam Bradford at $18 M/year for two years, and Chase Daniel at $7M/year for three years--and then go out and draft another quarterback??  Sam has a terrific arm, but has been riddled with injuries since he was in college.  And Chase Daniel has had two  (that's TWO) NFL starts and has a contract that is bigger than RG3 and Josh McCown.  Chase Daniel was undrafted and undersized, kind of like Connor Shaw of the Browns. And he gets a huge contract.  
     It would be possible to trade Bradford, but it would cost $9.5 Million to the Eagles salary cap in 2016.  The new team would not have to pay Sam's bonus, just the unguaranteed salary of $7 M this year, with an option of 2017 of $13 M plus a $4M roster bonus or $17 M total. Maybe that is not totally crazy, and they might get a draft pick back.  I bet the Broncos might offer a 3rd or 4th round pick for him.  Daniel, on the other hand, is a totally insane singing that I cannot explain.  

It's not the age, it's the mileage. For whatever reason, Sam Bradford has been banged up more than any other quarterback in the league.  It would be very tough to trade him, since he has a new $36 M two year deal. 

    The fundamental problem, however, is that the quarterbacks are over-rated. Jared Goff has good height at 6'4", but at 215 he is only 8 pounds heavier than Johnny Manziel, who was famously ridiculed for being undersized.  Goff is not fast, at 4.82 seconds.   Normally he should be downgraded to the mid first round for that, although he did put up great numbers at Cal.  

      Wentz was more of a Combine Wonder than Goff, weighing in at 235 pounds but a shade faster than Goff at 4.77.  Wentz is said to have a slightly better arm, but posted up good-not-great numbers at North Dakota State.   I'm thinking more along the lines of Alex Smith, a very good first round draft pick, but perhaps not necessarily worth the second overall pick.  

      It was smart to trade out of that situation, and the Eagles were stupid to trade in.  

I believe the Moneyball guys won this trade, hands down.  

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