Showing posts with label deshaun watson. Show all posts
Showing posts with label deshaun watson. Show all posts

Wednesday, July 8, 2026

Browns Fascination with Trading the Backup QB is Not Cool


There is a huge buzz among fans to trade underachieving quarterbacks for draft picks.  Good luck with that. 

The Cleveland Browns training camp is about to start in earnest and to liven things up, some of our fellow Dawgs are salivating at the prospect of trading the loser of their quarterback competition.  My question is:  who made up the rule that you trade the backup quarterback when you select your first string guy?? 

NFL teams have a backup quarterback for a reason. Football is the most violent team game there is, and the job of the defense is to hit the quarterback. NFL teams, and the Browns in particularly, routinely need starts from the backup quarterback in order to have a football season. In the Deshaun Watson era, they started two QBs in 2022, five in 2023, four in 2024, three in 2025. Why would anyone conclude that the backup quarterback is unnecessary?   

Understand also that there is a difference between  and a true "Backup Quarterback" a "Developmental Quarterback," because the Browns obviously have no clue. The Backup Quarterback has to be ready to play now, because the team may need an immediate replacement due to an injury. A Developmental Quarterback is a rookie or second-year player that you believe has potential, but might be one or two seasons away. The Pro game is not simple, and a guy coming right out of college rarely can play the Pro game at a high level. Baker Mayfield did it, but he was a first overall pick with four full years of major college experience (plus an extra year of practice, while he awaited permission to transfer). Not all rookie quarterbacks are as good as Baker Mayfield, and even Baker did not peak until about Year 6 with Tampa Bay.  

The Browns repeatedly make the mistake of using a Developmental QB as the Backup QB and the result is disastrous. A case in point is installing Round 5 pick Dorian Thompson Robinson as the backup and trading Joshua Dobbs in 2023. Dobbs threw for 2464 yards that year, while DTR got killed by Baltimore when he had to go in for Deshaun Watson in Game 4. Not ready.  But the Browns did it again in 2024, making him second string, but at least they had Jameis Winston as the third string.

Cleveland ownership and a substantial part of the fan base, thinks that we need to start rookie quarterbacks in order to "learn what we have."  This should makes you want to toss your dawg biscuits.  We don't learn anything by putting a young kid in a situation in which he is likely to fail.  If someone wants to analyze bad stats for Shedeur or Dillon, the view here is, So what? They should not have taken the field in 2025! These players were mid to late round picks that you might be able to develop to a competent starter, and demanding instant stardom is just not realistic. Bad rookie stats do not prove they are untalented. Bad rookie stats just prove they had no business starting in Year 1. Giving up on a quarterback after seven starts is silly. The table below shows other quarterbacks who were terrible in their rookie years but grew up to be okay. Check out Terry Bradshaw's 6-24 TD-INT ratio!  What about Alex Smith, with 1 TD versus 11 INTs?  The obvious conclusion is that an NFL team needs to be patient. Bad stats obtained on a struggling team is not a sufficient reason to fire the quarterback. 

                       Quarterbacks with Bad Rookie Stats                        (moral:  Sometimes QBs Get Better with Experience)


The Browns recent history is that they have traded away veteran quarterbacks, presumably to protect Deshaun Watson from a dreaded "quarterback controversy," and then they promote rookie quarterbacks to take the place of the fired veterans.  Then they find out that Deshaun is not available due to various injuries and are shocked and angry to find out that their young quarterback cannot perform at a high level. Let's examine what the Browns are doing wrong.

Year by Year Case Study in the Deshaun Era

Let's review the shenanigans from the beginning of the Deshaun era in 2022. Deshaun started his career on the Suspended List for his alleged improper behavior with masseuses. Inexplicably, in 2022 they traded backup Case Keenum, who knew the Browns' offense inside out and backwards and had led the Vikings to the playoffs with Stefanski as the QB Coach.  Why did they feel that they had to trade the backup quarterback? Well, if Keenum had remained, you have the potential for a "Quarterback Controversy." Many Browns fans had wanted him to step in for Baker Mayfield the previous year. Baker was trying to play with a severe injury to his non-throwing shoulder and was not his normal self. Was there some other reason for trading Keenum besides avoiding a potential QB controversy?  

In 2023, as mentioned previously, the Browns promoted Josh Dobbs to second string, but somehow he lost his job in summer training camp to Round 5 draftee Dorian Thompson-Robinson. Dobbs was sent packing to Arizona to replace injured Kyler Murray. However, when Deshaun went down with a shoulder injury, DTR showed he was in no way ready. So Andrew Berry placed a call to Joe Flacco, who was just lying on his couch watching TV, and Flacco got up and led the Browns to the playoffs, winning the NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award. However, the Browns did not re-sign him. The only logical explanation is that they were afraid of Flaccomania. Hence, Jameis Winston became the backup for 2024.

In 2024, after a few games DTR was inexplicably promoted over Winston to second string, repeating the mistake of 2023. However DTR was injured in the same game that Deshaun suffered a season-ending Achilles injury. Enter Jameis. He is not the greatest QB of all time, but he averaged nearly 300 passing yards per game for a team with an aging offensive line and a weak rushing offense without Nick Chubb. Plus he beat Pittsburgh and became a fan favorite. But Jameis was let go after the season to once again avoid a QB controversy with Watson. Are you beginning to see the pattern?  

In 2025, they hired Joe Flacco for the second time while Deshaun was healing from Achilles tendon repair.  They also had Tyler Huntley and Kenny Pickett in camp and though they talked about four quarterbacks on the roster, they ultimately traded Pickett and cut Huntley. Flacco was traded after starting the season 1-3. Thus, the three best quarterbacks for 2025 were cut or traded, which is very hard to believe but true. Gabriel showed he was overwhelmed by the Pro game before turning the job over to Sanders.  Sanders was not ready either but at least chucked the ball downfield occasionally. Nothing good happened by starting players who were not ready for the NFL game. 

After a year of study at the School of Hard Knocks, it is plausible that Gabriel and/or Sanders may show significant improvement over their rookie years, especially if Todd Monken perhaps one of the kids can run an offense this season, hopefully in Cleveland rather than being given away to another team. 

To sum up, in four years, the Browns have been totally dysfunctional, getting rid of competent if unspectacular QBs including Case Keenum, Joe Flacco (twice),Tyler Huntley, Joshua Dobbs (twice), Jameis Winston, and Kenny Pickett. A major driver is to avoid "quarterback controversy" and protecting Deshaun Watson from competition from other veterans. 


 

 


Wednesday, August 13, 2025

Why the Browns are Financially Broke Now till 2028

 






Your Cleveland Browns are forced to underspend the salary cap in 2025, 2026 and 2027 compared to their AFC North rivals because of Deshaun Watson's $167 million of cap charges oer the next three seasons, plus another $92 million in dead money over the same period, and probably much more if they cut or trade overpaid players to liberate cap space. So that's at least $259 million dollars over the next three seasons, and it is going to get worse before it gets better.  

It doesn't mean that the Browns are going to be terrible. The Denver Broncos were able to succeed in 2024 despite carrying $89 million in "dead cap" charges, mainly due to Russell Wilson's contract.  Nevertheless the Sashi Brown plan to spend our way to the Super Bowl is OVER.  

It's true that the Browns have some offsetting savings from past seasons, that money is more than cancelled out by $36 million dollar charge for Deshaun Watson and $68 million for former Browns stars including Amari Cooper, Zadarius Smith, Jed Wills, Dalvin Tomlinson, and several others.  

This season, we can guesstimate the actual amount they will spend on players not named Deshaun Watson by using the top 51 salaries pubished in OvertheCap.com and adding about 15 million dollars to cover the Practice Squad, injury replacements and late free agents. It's a bit of a shell game because teams can push money into the future by restructuring contracts to a certain extent. Nevertheless the total cap spent on players who are actually playing provides us a rough estimate of what the teams are actually investing in this season. That would say our Browns will come in at $216 million for money actually spent on players who actually play this season, while the Ravens will be at $249, the Bengals at $261 and Steelers $266. Thus, the Browns will spend about $30 million to $50 million less on their active players than their Division rivals this season, and it will get worse in 2026 and 2027.  

Those sportswriters who are writing stories about the Browns being able to afford trading first round draft picks and spending money on high priced contracts like Micah Parsons from the Cowboys are living in fantasyland. Quit reading that stuff!  Face it, the Browns ability to afford players who actually play is millions less than their AFC North rivals' this year, and it will probably get worse in 2026 and 2027. They simply need to recharge all the cash and draft picks that were blown on Deshaun, plus all the future-loaded contracts that are now coming due.  

The budget shortfall has been planned since 2022 when they signed Deshaun.  The idea was that they were going to overspend for as long as possible and try to win a Super Bowl and pay for it later. Well, they didn't win, and "later" has arrived.

Still, let's not give up hope.  A number of teams have won Super Bowls with the backup quarterback, including three in a row from 1999 to 2001: 1999 Rams with undrafted Kurt Warner, 2000 Ravens with Trent Dilfer, and the 2001 Patriots with second year man Tom Brady.  The most recent backup to bring home a Lombardi Trophy was Nick Foles and the 2017 Eagles.  

So, it's not good that the Browns are overspent for the next few years, but it's not impossible to win, either.  But can we at least stop overinvesting in quarterbacks? In addition to the well-publicized over-investiment in Deshaun, the Browns have burned through $22 milllion dollars in the Deshaun era and used five additional draft picks on quarterbacks in the past three years. This is preposterous! In 2026, with two first round picks (probably good ones, since the extra one is tied to Jacksonville), the temptation will be enormous to draft yet another quarterback, this time to replace Shedeur, if he does not win the Super Bowl as a rookie.   

I did not like the process that brought Shedeur to Cleveland, but here he is. He is the quarterback of the future, and no one else.  So stop wasting additional draft picks! 





A

$22,584,000

Za'Darius Smith

$14,233,000

Jedrick Wills

$11,812,057

Dalvin Tomlinson

$7,042,000

the money that they are spending on players not with the team, plus 

S