Pythagorean Win Percentage Slightly Favors Patriots in the Super Bowl

The Pythagorean win percentage is calculated based on points versus opponents points.  Game-to-game variation is all over the place but over the course of a season  you might try to find a trend.  It doesn't prove anything, and I wouldn't place a bet because of it, but the Patriots have gotten better as the season has gone on, and the Rams started out truly dominant, but are not quite as one-sided as the season has gone on.  Of course, they are also playing better teams in the playoffs.  

So both teams are pretty good, no doubt, but this simple form of analysis is consistent with the Las Vegas opinion that the Patriots might deserve to be a slight favorite.  

The Patriots have been getting better as the season has gone on. 

The Rams are a very good team, but were more dominant at the beginning of the year, and less so towards the end of the year . 

  

The Rams are a very good team, but were more dominant at the beginning of the year, and less so towards the end of the year .