Brandt NFL Draft Point System Explained by the Village Elliot

How do you figure out the value of a draft pick if you move up or move down in the NFL draft?  I'm not an expert, but as a Math teacher and football fanatic I think I've come to understand the basic theory. 

    Years ago the Cowboys devised a mathematical point system to evaluate the relative value of draft picks, with the help of a computer.  Gil Brandt was probably the single person who contributed the most, with assistance from GM Tex Schramm and Coach Jimmy Johnson, and so the Cowboy's system is sometimes referred to as the Brandt system, or Schramm system or even Jimmy Johnson.    

The system is based on a mid-first round draft pick (number 16 if there are 32 teams) being worth 1000 points.   For example, according to the theory the first overall pick is worth 3000 points or 3 times the value of a mid-first-round pick.   Later round picks are worth much less.   

I am personally surprised at the vast differential between early and late rounds.  I'll question those assumptions in a future blog, but for now the important point is that football experts generally agree with the Schramm concept, though everyone has a somewhat different formula.   I've listed the values in the table below, and the same data is also plotted as a graph below. 

Brandt Point Value versus Overall Draft Pick Number

   What about trading future year picks for  a current year pick?  There is no textbook answer, though GMs almost always value the current year over future years.  Valuation theory won't work unless we know what period of time to amortize the investment over.  GM's seem to act like the period should be about three years   

     For example, if you draft a guy in the present year, he contributes for all three years, but next year's pick only contributes for two years.  So next year's pick is only worth 67% of this year's pick.   

     With that assumption in mind, let's look at the  Carson Wentz trade.  The Browns gave up the second overall pick, plus a 2017 4th round supplemental pick (i.e., end of 4th round)Thus,

Browns gave up

Year/Round/overall      Point

2016/1st/2               2600 

2017 4th                      29  (i.e., 66.7% x 44 points)

TOTAL                     2629 Points

The Eagles gave up 

2016/1st/8              1400 points

2016/3/72                 230 points    

2016/4/104  and         86 points

2017 first round,       667 points

2018 2nd round.      183  points

TOTAL                    2566 points

The point totals are comparable suggesting that the 3 year amortization postulate is not that far off.  

     Note also that the point values are made assuming the Eagles are a .500 team.    So the Browns win big if the Eagles have a losing record in 2017 and 2018.  But if the Eagles believe they will have a winning record in those years, it makes their price for a top quarterback more rational.  

     Morever, the Browns value the 2017 and 2018 squad more highly than the 2016 squad.  So the deal makes sense from both sides, depending on what you believe in

    Less understandable is the Brady Quinn trade, in which the Browns traded 2/36 plus a number 1 pick from the following year for the Cowboys' Round 1/22nd pick. 

     The Cowboys gave up 780 Schramm points, and got 540 points plus the Browns future year draft pick, worth 667 points for a mid-round future pick.  That is, the Browns gave up 540 plus 66.7%* 1000 = 1207 points.  This is acceptable if they believed Brady Quinn's true value was first round, 12th overall pick or higher.  

   

NFL 2017 Draft QB Ratings from the Village Elliot

************************update*********January 5 2017*******************************
I updated my picks because Mason Rudolph is not coming out this year, so he says.   I also had Deshaun Watson fall back a little because of his penchant from INTs, but boosted him back up after a sensational bowl season, and Brad Kaaya moves up because he hangs on to the ball. Also one of my friends has been touting Zach Terrell of Western Michigan, and I think he may have a valid point.  He is very, very good to lead a MAC team to the Cotton Bowl. 
**********************************************************************************

    It's very early, but with the Browns at 0-12 attention has already started to focus on the 2017 season.  I've had some success at projecting future qbs even though I am not that much of a scout and don't watch that much film.  But I can tell you that I like guys who are accurate, football-smart,  big enough to take a hit, strong-armed, experienced with high level competition and fast, in roughly that order.  There are exceptions of course.  

    I also think that it normally takes about two years to judge a quarterback, especially now that they are coming out a year or two earlier than back in the day.  

     Good quarterbacks can be found at any level in the draft. I don't think you have to take a guy in the first round to be successful, even though Browns Nation tends to be obsessed with quarterbacks for the first overall pick. Conversely, the success rate for quarterbacks is only about 50% in the first round, and lower for later rounds.  

  

   Last year, the Browns were ripped for passing on Carson Wentz and trading him for a boatload of draft picks, even though Carson has been a below average quarterback in his first year rather than an instant star.  

    I think serious consideration has to be given to trading down or picking some other position besides quarterback. We have four qbs who will play in the NFL next year:  Cody Kessler, Robert Griffin III, Kevin Hogan and Josh McCown. We're going to have to cut two of them if we draft someone in the first round, and it's arguable whether as a rookie he will be better than any of the four guys we already have.

     Nevertheless, I think Mitch Trubisky is going to be the number one overall pick, based on his outstanding accuracy, strong arm and football smarts.  He is not on a glamour team and he doesn't have a great corps of receivers, so perhaps his numbers don't jump out at you. But what he does is throw the football on the money consistently   If he does well at the Combine, I think that the GMs will fall madly in love with him.    Mason Rudolph would have moved up to the top 10 also, but he has decided to remain in school.    

      Brad Kaaya has performed well for a so-so Miami team, but like Trubisky and Rudolph, he isn't considered a superstar.  I have him in the late first round, but he is another guy who could move up if he wows the scouts at the Combine.

      At one point Deshaun Watson was at the top of everyone's draft list because of his passing and running ability, but he's thrown a lot of interceptions this year and people are wary. Plus, on a great Clemson team, you have to ask whether it's really the quarterback, or maybe his teammates--like WR Mike Williams.  So  I've pushed Deshaun back into the second round.
     Same with DeShone Kizer who has underperformed expectations a little bit.  He's been good but not great.   Many list him in the first round, based on his arm but I'm not buying it.   

      Chad Kelly has first round talent and maybe the best arm in the draft, but he got kicked off the team at Clemson.  I like guys that are in better control of their emotions at the quarterback position.  You could imagine that could happen with him if a team is willing to be patient.  After a knee injury, I don't really want to see him until 2018, but he would be worth a mid to late round draft pick. 
      Since Dak Prescott went in the fourth round last year, everybody figures that there might be another guy in a late round.  They might be right.  Davis Webb, Zach Terrel Nathan Peterman, C. J. Beathard and Joshua Dobbs all seem to have prototypic size and arm strength for the NFL.  If you look at the list, everyone is tall and big this year.  Maybe it's not the greatest quarterback draft of all time, but it is very deep and it is entirely possible that a late round quarterback could become a starter. which is not great but it didn't hurt Ben Roethlisberger. 

Generally, I don't think personnel guys are great geniuses. Like fans, they get too excited about quarterback potential and draft some of them too early.  Then they devalue the later rounds and consequently you see some really good players taken late.  How about 
 

Table 1 where I think they will be drafted:

Mitch Trubisky        1   North Carolina           6'3"  220
Deshaun Watson    1   Clemson                    6'2" 215
Pat Mahomes         1  Texas Tech                6'3"  230
Brad Kaaya             2   Miami                        6'4"  210
DeShone Kizer       2    Notre Dame              6'4"  230
Davis Webb             2    California                   6'3"  227
Chad Kelly               3   Ole Miss                    6'2"  224
Zach Terrell             4   Western Michigan      6'2"  210
Nathan Peterman   5   Pitt                             6'2"  225
C. J. Beathard         6   Iowa                           6'2"  215
Joshua Dobbs         6   Tennessee                 6'3"  210

Mitch Trubisky can stand in the pocket and make a good smart throw, and then take a hit.  What more could we really want?

Table 2.  Where I would draft them:
Nobody till mid first round, then

Mitch Trubisky        1   North Carolina           6'3"  220
Pat Mahomes         1  Texas Tech                6'3"  230

Brad Kaaya            1   Miami                        6'4"  210

DeShone Kizer       2    Notre Dame              6'4"  230

Deshaun Watson    2   Clemson                    6'2" 215

Davis Webb            2    California                   6'3"  227

Chad Kelly              3   Ole Miss                    6'2"  224

Zach Terrell            3   Western Michigan      6'2"  210

Joshua Dobbs        3   Tennessee                 6'3"  210

Nathan Peterman   4   Pitt                             6'2"  225

C. J. Beathard        5   Iowa                           6'2"  215

Browns Draft Haul from the Wentz trade

It's complicated because their were multiple deals.  But basically the Browns gave up Wentz plus a 2017 number 4, and received the following 

BROWNS DRAFT HAUL FROM EAGLES TRADE (from @willBrinson, CBSSPORTS.com)
PLAYER/PICK	ROUND	OVERALL PICK	POSITION	COLLEGE
Corey Coleman	1	15	WR	Baylor
Shon Coleman	3	76	OT	Auburn
Cody Kessler	3	93	QB	USC
Ricardo Louis	4	114	WR	Auburn
Derrick Kindred	3	129	SS	TCU
Spencer Drango	4	168	OL	Baylor
2017 NFL Draft Pick (from PHILLY)	1	TBD	TBD	TBD
2017 NFL Draft Pick (from TEN)	2	TBD	TBD	TBD
2018 NFL Draft Pick (from PHILLY)	3	TBD	TBD	TBD

Now, a related question is how the two quarterbacks compare.  Wentz is bigger, stronger and has a better arm. But Kessler seems to have a very good football mind and the stats are comparable.  It's early, and Cody hasn't played as much as Carson.  But for what it is worth, by QB rating Cody is currently the 13th best passer in the NFL and Wentz is about number 21.   Nevertheless, many Cleveland fans believe Wentz is a lock for the Hall of Fame, and we need to replace Cody Kessler as quickly as possible.  

Player	Team	Comp	Att	Pct	Yds	Avg	TD	Int	40+	Sck	Rating
Cody Kessler	CLE	119	178	66.9	1,241	7	6	1	4	15	95.7
Carson Wentz	PHI	202	311	65	2,121	6.8	9	5	4	19	87.6

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Another Tough Loss, Titans 28 Browns 26

It's getting a bit repetitious.   The Browns are not a good football team right now, but they can play pretty much even up against other not-so-good teams like Tennessee.  

Some takeaways:

i.  Terrelle Pryor was awesome again, all over the field making unbelieveable catches.  An amazing talent.  I was very worried that the Browns were going to lose him, but then I remembered we have the option to franchise him.  Yes he is worth $15 million dollas for  next year.  Definitely.   

ii.  We had some good results from the defensive line, which has started to show up against the run, Emmanuel Ogbah, Carl Nassib and Danny Shelton have been stepping it up. Shelton had a fantastic game, limiting the Titans' Demarco Murray and even sacking Mariota.  We are hurting in the secondary, however, and overall we are still very weak. You can't give up 30 points a week and make a living in the NFL.

iii.  Cam Erving was an impact player again, and not in a positive way.  I was amazed to see a Titans pass rusher put him on his butt by pushing him with one hand.  Amazing. Erving was also in trouble for trash talking to the point where Josh McCown had to help get him off the field to disengage his mouth. Erving missed several blocks and is trying to kill Cody Kessler.  This is not good.  Something is very wrong with the Browns center.  Maybe he's not healthy yet, I don't know.  

iv.  Cody Kessler is performing at a very high level for a rookie.  Yes, Carson Wentz and Dak Prescott are better.   Yes, it's a limited data set, but Kessler is ranked about 16th in QB rating with 87.9.   The team is moving the ball, scoring points and not turning it over.   I'm not sure that we don't have our quarterback.  

Redskins are Decrepit, Browns More So, 31-20

     The Browns are not a very good team.  But they were able to keep pace with another poor team in the Washington Redskins for a while, before turnovers did them in in the second half.  

Matt Jones, 31, was a huge reason why the Browns could not limit the Washington Redskins.  

    Cody Kessler, Isaiah Crowell, Gary Barnidge and Terrelle Pryor stood out for the offense again.  The Browns wound up passing more than they should have, partly due to the situation, but Crowell gained 112 yards on only 15 carries (note:  he should get 20 carries at least if we are fielding a rookie third string quarterback).  

     Kessler is not terrible.  Yes he makes rookie mistakes, holds onto the ball sometimes and things like that.  But he got good yardage and was generally very efficient.  He's very accurate and throws a very catchable ball.  Put it this way, he looked better today than the Patriots' Jacoby Brissett, who was taken ahead of him.   The star rookie qbs are Carson Wentz famously taken with the Browns number two overall pick in Round One, and Dak Prescott, who was taken after Cody.   

   Barnidge and Pryor again made some nice catches for decent yardage, with some help from Duke Johnson coming out of the backfield.  

     Defensively, special kudos to Cam Johnson who rejoined the Browns after being re-signed to replace injured Nate Orchard.   Johnson was terrific getting to Redskins qb Kirk Cousins three times.   But overall, the Browns flopped against the run, as Matt Jones looked like Red Grange, gaining 117 yards on 25 carries, including big yardage in the second half.  In the secondary, Jamar Taylor came up with a big interception, and the Browns also had decent performances from Emmanuel Ogbah, Chris Kirksey and Jordan Poyer.

    New kicker Cody Parkey was two-for-two in field goals after having a bad first game last week.  I think he'll be all right.  

Excruciating Overtime Loss to the Dolphins, 30-24

    An excruciating loss to be sure, but I'm still drinking the Kool-Aid.  This team is improved from last week.  They played exciting football and should have beat Miami. 

    Terrelle Pryor was a superstar today.  He played wide receiver, quarterback and halfback all in the same game and starred at everything he did.  What a player!

Terrelle Pryor was a monster, catching the ball, throwing the ball and running the ball.   

    Very importantly, Cody Kessler looks like a quarterback.  I don't know that he is better than Colt McCoy, but he is okay to be on the team as a backup for now, and maybe next year or the year after he will challenge for the starter's job.  

    So yes it feels horrible that we blew the game.  We had to pick up a new kicker in Cody Parkey on Saturday, and he was not able to perform on Sunday. He missed three ordinary kicks today.   We'll either sign someone new or else this fellow will improve.  He played in the Pro Bowl a few years back, so he may not be terrible.  He needs some reps with the long snapper and the holder, and he will make more of those kicks.  Still, Browns fans have been accustomed to good Special Teams play dating back to the Phil Dawson and Josh Cribbs era, but it may not be the same now.   

    Also on the downside, we still gave up way too many hits on the quarterback and too many sacks.  In the short run, it was excruciating, but I believe in Hue Jackson, and this team is definitely getting better.   

Cody Kessler wasn't great, but for a rookie third stringer, he played very well.  

Pythagorean Win Percentage Calculated from Spread and Over/Under

   I'm sure somebody has made this calculation before, but I couldn't find it on the web, so here is my version of calculating the predicted win percentage of a football game, based on the spread and over/under.   You get the spread and over/under from donbest.com or most gambling sites and sports sites.  

   The idea of Pythagorean win percentage is that if you know how many points a team gives up and how many they score, you can estimate the win percentage.   as follows:

Win pct = (points scored)^2/ [(points scored)^2 + (points allowed)^2]

OK, so the football betting line gives you the Las Vegas estimate (about the best in the world) of  point differential = points scored-points allowed.

And the overunder is the best estimate of 
total points = points scored plus points allowed. 

So,  you can calculate an estimate for points scored =  1/2 *   (overunder  plus spread) . 

An estimate for points allowed is 1/2 (overunder - spread).  


As an example, on Sunday Sept 25, the Miami Dolphins are favered by 7.5  points, with the overunder at 42.5  

Predicted Miami points = 0.5*  (42.5 + 7.5) = 25

Predicted Cleveland points =0.5 * (42.5- 7.5)  = 17.5

Miami estimated win probability =  (25^2)/(25^2 + 17.5^2) = .671

If you could play like thatl all season, that's pretty good.  For example an 11-5 team is .688, 10-6 is  .625.  

By the way, I calculated this just for fun.  It's not intended to be a betting tool.  I'm not a bettor, because I believe that 10% fee takes pretty good care of the bookies, and they are better than us.   

Cleveland Browns: Bad Game, but Improved from Last Week.

  No doubt, this is a bad Cleveland Browns team right now. Mistakes abound, and there were bad plays on both sides of the ball.  It was agonizing to once again give up points to Baltimore, just like last year, while trying to kick an EXTRA POINT.   Wow, that was terrible!  And that three point swing really came back to haunt us at the end, where we were forced to score a touchdown instead of a field goal. 

    We were badly beaten up on the offensive line, which did not protect McCown all afternoon, and got him injured. It looked to me like the left side of our line stayed intact, but there were problems at center, right guard and right tackle. McCown is simply not going to make it through the season with such poor O-Line play.  And on defense, our secondary could not cope with the likes of ancient Steve Smith, who apparently found a fountain of youth against the Browns.  

    We've been used to exceptional special teams play, but that fell apart for us as we could not contain ancient Devin Hester, while we missed a field goal and gave up the huge play on the blocked extra point.  

     But if you step back a bit, you realize that the Browns were at least in this game for a while before blowing it at the end.   We gained yards on the ground, the defensive line had some good stops, McCown completed passes before getting hurt.  Chris Kirksey played well at ILB, Joe Haden and Tramon Williams showed that they would still fight, if not at the same level they played at during their peak.

Corey Coleman hauled in a touchdown pass versus Baltimore.

     As an amateur General Manager, I was interested to see that several Browns castaways did well, with Karlos Dansby starting for the Bengals, and Craig Robertson leading the Saints in tackles.  Teammate Paul Kruger recovered a fumble for the Saints as well.  Travis Benjamin scored for the Chargers, and Willie Snead scored another for the Saints. Fozzy Whitaker could not make the Browns 53-man roster, but there he was gaining 100 yards for the Carolina Panthers.  Amazing.  Tashaun Gipson is starting for Jacksonville; and Mitchell Schwartz is getting it done for the Kansas City Chiefs, and Barkevious Mingo is playing for New England, and Johnson Bademosi is playing special teams in Detroit and Justin Gilbert is in Pittsburgh.  I'm not sure that we have done a good job at evaluating veteran talent, as a lot of guys we didn't want are playing well elsewhere.  

     I think if McCown is banged up, the Browns need to promote Kevin Hogan to the 53 man roster, to prevent some other team from picking him up.  Either that or we need to sign a veteran.  It's very forseeable that Josh's injuries, plus our relectance to passblock, is going to limit Josh's longevity as the Browns' starter.   Looks like the Patriots are going to have to start a third string quarterback, and the Browns may be not far behind.   

Is Cody Kessler ready to start?  We may soon find out. 

    

Pump the Brakes on RG3 and the Browns

     Last week was a very bad game for Sashi Brown and Browns management.  After going on record on their belief that Carson Wentz would never become a top 20 NFL quarterback, Wentz and the Eagles beat up on the Browns.  Worse, Robert Griffin III had a terrible game and seriously injured his shoulder, making a bad decision and landing awkwardly on his left elbow (never try to break your fall by sticking your elbow out, you Pop Warner quarterbacks).  

After a rough week, Josh McCown tries to right the ship.  

      ESPN commentators are falling all over themselves predicting that RG3 is through, after one game.  

      Oh, come on!  Who could imagine that a quarterback would peak in his first game with a new team? 

     Usually it takes a veteran qb several games to make the adjustments needed to excel with a new team.  Quarterbacks are almost always better in their second year with the same coach and same team, and especially if the guy is a rookie.   

     In that sense, RG3 was an exception, having his best year as a rookie.   But normally we would expect a quarterback to improve over the course of his first year, and by the second year perhaps RG3 might be in the top 20.   

    It's unlikely that the Browns will be in contention when RG3 comes back in late November or December, either with Josh McCown or Cody Kessler.   Thus more than likely it will behoove the Browns to find out if RG3 can play effectively.      

     In the off-season, the Browns will have the opportunity to draft someone, and that would probably be a good idea even if McCown and RG3 both have good years.   Both McCown and RG3 are injury-prone, and thus there is no reason not to have a young talented quarterback on the team if one is available in the NFL draft next year.  It wouldn't be a disaster if one of the veterans starts the 2017 season as first string.   

Is Cody Kessler going to be a starting quarterback?

     On the other hand, the Browns already have a developmental quarterback in Cody Kessler, taken in the third round.  Normally a third round pick would not start in his first year, but maybe by year two or three he would be expected to challenge for a starting job.  Hence, my thought is that if the Browns don't draft a guy in the first round, they will probably continue to groom Cody Kessler.  That would surprise many Browns Backers, as we have pretty much got our heart set on a first round draft pick as the only viable quarterback option.  On the other hand Coach Hue Jackson believes in Kessler.   Would he let Kessler battle for a first string job next preseason? If so, they may not really want a first round quarterback.   That's hard to believe based on one bad game, but a lot can happen in the course of a year.   Let's watch and see. 

Browns Crushed by Sure Fire Hall of Famer Carson Wentz and the Eagles.

Carson Wentz was a superstar in his frist NFL game, throwing for 278 yards and a quarterback rating of 101.0.   Sashi Brown, please explain again why he was considered not good enough for our team?

Another NFL opening day, and another crushing defeat by the Browns, 29-10, this time at the hands of their longtime nemesis, the  Philadelphia Eagles. 

It wasn't just losing, it was the way they lost.  They traded away signing rights for Carson Wentz, the kid from South Dakota State who didn't even play in NCAA Division 1.  After only 1 game in a preseason shortened by injury, he comes out and looks like Joe Montana.  Honestly, the kid was amazingly accurate.  

The Browns front office reportedly did not regard Wentz as a top tier prospect, and accordingly traded him away  (see for example cle 247 sports ). And then, being totally unprofessional, they bragged about it to ESPN, saying that Wentz will never be a top 20 quarterback.  Well guys, he's top 20 now, after one game.  The right answer would have been to say that we think the world of Carson, but you have to give up something good to get something good, blah blah blah.  Now you look like idiots.  Well, get used to it.  

So if Wentz is a really good quarterback, what does that say about management?  If he stinks, what does it say about our defense?   No doubt we vaulted him to the top echelon of NFL quarterbacks for one game.  

Were there some good things from the Browns point of view? Sure there were.  For one thing, they were better against the run, holding Philadelphia to 3.9 yards per  carry.  Cam Erving was horrific, hiking the ball over RG3's head and out of the end zone, resulting in a safety.  But on other plays he was not overmatched like he had been in preseason.  

The Browns gained 5.7 yards per carry on the ground, which is outstanding.  We were not terrible on offense.   We were terrible at pass defense, and also gave up acres of land on special teams.  We are going to miss special teams veterans like Justin Gilbert, Marlon Moore, and Barkevious Mingo.  

Why do we have Tramon Williams returning punts?  After drafting all those kids, is he really the best there as at punt returns?  He may not longer be a top cornerback, but on this team he is a key veteran.  Do we really want to risk a veteran defensive back on punt returns?  Hopefully we'll start to work in a young player back there in the near future.      



  

The Browns Look Like a Four Win Team

     Man, I feel great about football season coming up.  I love football, I follow college, high school, semipro and pro football and my favorite team is the Cleveland Browns.   I will go to a football game anytime, anywhere.   I just think it's the hardest and most complex game in the world, and these NFL guys are the most amazing athletes in the world.  

     Now one of our traditions is that we try to guess how many games the Browns will win.  If I knew the answer I would be setting the odds in Las Vegas, but here goes.  

Gary Barnidge is one of the few guys we have left who has been to the Pro Bowl.  

    I feel like the Browns have a great Coach in Hue Jackson, a great Defensive Coordinator in Ray Horton (who I wanted to be the Head Coach, figuring Hue would not be available), and a front office that is Harvard trained in economics rather than flying by the seat of their pants.  

     But we really gouged the team this year, getting rid of an absurd number of talented players.   A partial list  is at the end of the article. 

     Not all of the players are good, but most of them can actually play and contribute to a winning team.  They will be replaced by young guys, many of whom are late round draft picks.   And yeah we added a few guys in free agency, such as Robert Griffin III.  But the talent we lost probably exceeds the talent level of the incoming rookie class.  

       So even if we have a better coached team, losing this many players is impossible to overcome.  We're just going to get hammered this year.  We are not likely to be much better than last year's team which went 3-13.   But our offense last year was respectable through the air with over 4000 yards passing, believe it or not.  I think the offense may hold its own again this year, with RG3 having a comeback year but running for his life with a weak offensive line blocking for him.  

     On defense, we just lost too many good players on the line, linebackers and in the secondary.  I think we will be one of the lowest ranked defenses, and four that reason we will have to struggle to reach four wins for the year.
 

Pro Bowler Alex Mack

Pro Bowler Tashaun Gipson
Former Pro Bowler Andy Lee

Former Pro Bowler Karlos Dansby

Former Pro Bowler Randy Starks
Former Pro Bowler Donte Whitner

Pro Bowl Alternate Travis Benjamin

Pro Bowl Alternate Johnson Bademosi

Starter Mitchell Schwartz

Starter Paul Kruger

Starter Brian Hartline

Starter Desmond Bryant (injured)

Starter (9 games) Craig Robertson

Starter (10 games) Jim Dray

First Round Pick Barkevious Mingo

First Round Pick John Manziel

First Round Pick Justin Gilbert